Thursday 2 October 2008

Can I Call You Joe: - The VP debate a Analysis

Look it's very late in Britain and staying up to watch VP presidential debates in something you have no control in must seem pretty sad, but it's politics and this was billed as a car crash television moment. Sadly for the viewers Biden showed composure under allegations that were false and Palin for her credit came across as warm just shame about her general views.

Who Won?
For all my nervous energy (I'm a cautious Barack Obama/Joe Biden supporter) i felt this was a draw, the Palin familiarity and the way she talked to the "folks" at home will improve that feel good factor on her, however the problem is, and I've read this a lot, she isn't the presidential candidate, then again I doubt it would help if she was.

Biden was factual but also held his attacks for John McCain, and he was neither patronising with Palin or hostile, but it suits the Democrats with the recent poll swings benefiting Barack Obama to be in this mode.

Did It Tell Us Much
It told us that Sarah Palin is not as rusty as we felt, neither will she destroy the McCain campaign, i believe McCain and Obama will decide the election not the gaffs of their VP's (unless they are really unsuitable). I think it told us that McCain sits with a novice, a rather sickly but crowd pleasing novice, and this is the problem if this economy question drags on.

Biden is a safe pair of hands, and Obama is a man with a small amount of experience, but enough to serve as America's President. I expect the big event that will affect the race will happen tomorrow when the bail out is voted upon.

So What Next
I think Palin will give McCain a small bounce but one that may be overshadowed by the economy once again, i think Palin will gain a positive score from tonight but as i see it i doubt it will be enough to swing the election back to McCain.

So next is McCain vs Obama 2, and with the aftermath from this latest bailout likely to be in the air, it will be interesting if McCain patronises Obama the way i felt he did in the first one especially on the economy, then McCain might fall too far behind to claw back.

But we'll see.

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